Re: What were your TOP 5 MOVIES of 2013?
Actually, Gravity is exactly NOT the kind of film that wins Best Picture. It doesn't say the movie business is awesome, it doesn't say being mean to other people is bad ummkayy, it's not a musical or historical epic, and none of the characters has a physical handicap to overcome.
The last genre movie (by which I mean fantasy/sci-fi/thriller) to win Best Picture was Return of the King ten years ago, the last before that was Silence of the Lambs, the one before that was... nothing.
Those other movies won because they were that goddam good. Gravity has a good shot at doing the same, but if so it'll be despite the kind of movie it is, not because of it.
EDIT: So yes, Doc Sub called it. 12 Years a Slave is a more likely winner because it is Important And Meaningful.
EDIT again: Rough early prediction, Gravity will take VFX and other technical awards, Cuaron might get Best Director and Sandy might even win Actress. But Best Picture... I wouldn't say it's a lock. On the other hand, the new 10-nominee Best Picture category allows votes to get split farther and upsets to happen more easily.