GRRRRRRRRRM wrote:And we won’t have to wait to get into the action. “I think we’re gonna start out with a big smash with the two enormous battles.” Presumably this means we will be treated to the Battle of Winterfell, and the Battle of Meereen, which had to be left out of A Dance With Dragons because of it’s already massive length and delayed publication date.
Ooh, this is where I get to share my theory on Jon's last chapter in ADWD.
So there are two things we should keep in mind going into this theory. First, Jon's last chapter specifies that "he never felt the fourth knife, only the cold." This implies that he was dying, right? Well, maybe. We also know that GRRM said many years ago that he would open TWOW with two big battles, which he called "the battle in ice, and the battle at Slaver's Bay." Many people have assumed that the "ice" battle referred to the Battle of Winterfell between Stannis and the Boltons. But what if it didn't?
First of all, we know that the Others bring an unearthly chill along with them. They make everything feel colder. So what if Jon never felt the fourth knife and "only the cold" not because he was dying, but because the Others were upon the Wall? He didn't feel the knife because they stopped stabbing him. We don't get any more information after that, so it's entirely plausible. As deaths go, this one is written pretty vaguely. And I think we can all agree that Jon's not going to stay dead even if he was killed at the end of ADWD. He's got more to do.
Second of all, why would GRRM call it "the battle in ice" instead of just "the Battle of Winterfell"? He specified that the second one would be in Slaver's Bay, so why not specify the first one? Maybe because he doesn't want to give away this twist. Plus, his use of the word "ice" is interesting. Winterfell isn't associated with ice at all. It's associated with snow, and with winter, but never really with ice. That's reserved for the Wall. Despite the arrival of winter, a battle at Winterfell wouldn't be a battle in ice. But a battle at the Wall would!
tl;dr - Jon isn't dead, because at the end of his last ADWD chapter the Others attacked the Wall. TWOW will open with this battle.
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague