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Oscars 2014 Office Pool (Page 1 of 2)
Friends In Your Head | Forums → Off Topic → Oscars 2014 Office Pool
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- Rob
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
Original Screenplay = AMERICAN HUSTLE
Adapted Screenplay = Terrence Winter, THE WOLF OF WALL STREET
Visual Effects = GRAVITY
Sound Mixing = INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS
Sound Editing = ALL IS LOST
Production Design = AMERICAN HUSTLE
Original Song = "Let it Go," FROZEN
Score = Johnny Williams, THE BOOK THIEF
Makeup & Hair = THE LONE RANGER
Foreign Language Film = THE GREAT BEAUTY
Editing = AMERICAN HUSTLE
Documentary Feature = THE ACT OF KILLING
Director = Alfonso Cuaron
Costume Design = AMERICAN HUSTLE
Cinematography = Emmanuel Lubezki, GRAVITY
Animated Feature = FROZEN
Supporting Actress = Lupita Nyong'o
Actress = Amy Adams
Supporting Actor = Jared Leto
Actor = Bruce Dern
Picture = GRAVITY
- Doctor Submarine
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague
- bullet3
- I Know Regular Expressions
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
I think DocSub might be right. I really wish Gravity would sweep, but I suspect that won't happen. It'll be a repeat of Life of Pi last year, where it picks up all the technicals, cinematography, and best director, while 12 years a slave gets best picture.
Don't underestimate American Hustle though, apparently the academy really likes it.
- Doctor Submarine
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague
- Doctor Submarine
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague
- Teague
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
VFX: Something funny I don't know you write the punchline god
- Doctor Submarine
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
McConaughey's role carries the same "THIS IS IMPORTANT" thing that Ejiofor's does. Both of them do really really good work, so I wouldn't be surprised if either of them take it.
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague
- Rob
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
Also, Alfonso Cuaron is a favorite for best director at 2/7, whereas Steve McQueen is 5/2.
I think it's more like an even-money coin toss between those two.
- Trey
- A Grizzled Old Dick With Stories To Tell
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
Yeah, it's pretty much a two-horse race for Best Actor between McConaughey and Ejiofor (and there's a sentence that needs more spellcheck than most).
Dern's there for being in something decent and not being dead yet, Bale and diCaprio are there because if it wasn't them it'd be Hanks or one of the other stalwarts. So it comes down to the Battle of The Important Topic movies between Slave and Dallas.
Haven't seen Slave yet but I'm sure Ejiofor is great, I have seen Dallas and I know Mac is great. Personally I give the edge to Matthew for doing the weight-loss thing and playing something outside his normal range: two things that so often work. Plus the overall "Mac is back!" wave he's riding. In Academy thinking Ejiofor is comparatively the "new guy", honor just to be nominated etc. If he's that good, he'll be back, is the conventional wisdom.
So my money's on Mac, but it won't shock me if Ejiofor wins. It will shock me if it goes to one of the other three.
- Rob
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
Sorry for this, but I just love oddsmaking:
If, right now, you lock in a bet on Amy Adams to win Best Actress, you can get as much as 12-to-1. Blanchett is the clear betting favorite. Sandy is a 6-to-1 dog.
The odds on Meryl Streep winning Best Actress currently range from 25/1 to 40/1. If you asked any of us one year ago, "Next year, Streep will be nominated. What do you think the odds on her winning will be?" few people would have said "40/1."
- Trey
- A Grizzled Old Dick With Stories To Tell
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
Aaaand McConaughey wins Best Actor at the SAG Awards... the train keeps on a'rollin...
Deadline says if anyone's going to steal the Oscar from Mac, it's diCaprio. I guess it's possible but I'm not betting that way.
- Doctor Submarine
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
Starting to think that McConaughey's "Homophobia Is Bad" points might outweigh Ejiofor's "Racism Is Bad" points. Both performances are equally great otherwise.
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague
- Trey
- A Grizzled Old Dick With Stories To Tell
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
23 2014-01-18 22:27:26 (edited by Doctor Submarine 2014-01-18 22:30:48)
- Doctor Submarine
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague
- Rob
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
It's the fact that Streep is getting booked as the longest of longshots that sort of struck me. It's probably happened several times to her in 15 noms, but it's funny to think about how we might've speculated. If you'd have asked me a year ago where I thought her odds would be in the Best Actress race, I certainly would not have said "dead last." It's just kinda delicious that the mighty Meryl is such a huge underdog, is all.
Hey you think I'm obnoxious with this shit, you should hear me trying to parse college football (I'll spare you).
- Doctor Submarine
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Re: Oscars 2014 Office Pool
Remember the last time she won? It was a pretty big upset then too. In fact I think in her acceptance speech she said something like, "Well, I know this is never going to happen again." She's the John Williams of acting. They'll nominate her no matter what she does, because everyone knows she's so damn good, but because of that they'd rather recognize other performers most of the time.
"The Doctor is Submarining through our brains." --Teague
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